2. General Trends of the Comet Hale-Bopp's Influence

The Comet influence is understood, as it is accepted in astrology, as a synchronism between some kinematic parameters pertaining to the comet and various physical and social phenomena (although some dynamic aspects will be considered hereinafter, as well). Of course, this external correlation does not reject physical studying of the phenomenon, but in this work, an attention is concentrated on the former aspect and, this way, we are interested not only in affirming the Forecast itself, but rather in corroboration and developing the forecasting technique.

Indeed, though the coming and influence of a comet in some way could be attributed to a sporadic factor, this fortuity is rather reflecting our low level of knowledge, and the more we know about effects and after-effects produced by such objects, the more definite a prognostic model we can compile for them without knowing the physical nature of such interactions, just by their kinematics and dynamics.

2/1. Kinematic Aspects of Comet HB's Influence

The forecast of the comet HB's influence is based on conventional kinematic approach, viz. on detecting the peculiar points T-T8 on its trajectory. These focal time points specified by HB/Sun conjunctions and attendant planetary configurations determine the moment when the comet's influence could sharpen as a result of unified concentration of energies of the heavenly bodies. Apart from an energetic point of view, each of these configurations is described by peculiar factors of influence which could be reflected in comet manifestations, and the more these configurations reiterate, the more pronounced they are expected to be in HB's manifestations. It is namely the stability of these reiterations of planetary configurations and their resonances (e.g. T2/T6, See the Table) which had allowed the specification of the factors of influence (1)-(3), as well as focal time points T1-T8.

Further on, it is natural to expect that these factors will be manifested in the most pronounced way in those regions where the respective planetary objects culminate. This had allowed the detection of the geographic meridians for the points T4,T5 specified in the Forecast, which are now replenished below by the focal meridians ei, wi, (i=1,2,...,16) obtained by the use of time points as described above (the former ones, M1-M4, being among them).

These focal meridians are presented in the Table below; however, although "exact" point estimates (viz. time and longitude values accurate to within seconds) are actual, they do not specify the only time/space area of comet manifestations. As usual, we have to consider the interval estimates which present the point ones taken with some orb. These orbs could be selected, for instance, by:

a) Duration of developing of physical phenomenon specifying the respective event (conjunction, eclipse, etc.); thus, if it takes for an eclipse an hour to develop until the greatest obscuration, the time orb Dt (in hours) might be selected within the range of 0-1 hours, and, then, this value would define the respective meridian orb Dm=(Dt/24).360o (in degrees), that gives Dm=15o for Dt=1h, or Dm=5o for Dt=20 min.

b) Conventional horoscope orb. Thus, if the planetary orb (in degrees) used in a horoscope is Dp, the same value (but in geodetic degree) remains for meridians. For example, if planetary configurations are analyzed with the orb Dp=5o, the meridian orb for longitudes makes 5o too.

c) Ecliptic remoteness to adjacent effective body (ies), as it was done for the points T4, T5 (See Paragraph 5, Part I).

Hence, if some meridians are mutually at a short distance (viz. form a cluster), within a definite orb they determine virtually the same region. This way, by using a 5o orb we can specify a meridian belt as continuous meridian zone which is obtained by unification of 5o vicinities of focal meridians belonging to the cluster. These belts and respective clusters are given in the Diagram, below.

As a result of analysis of the Summary relative to emergence of significant events pertaining to factors (1)-(3), focal points T2-T7 and focal meridians (See Table and Diagram) we may conclude the following.

(A) In the sense of synchronism, the comet Hale-Bopp's influence might be considered as affirmed on a world-wide scale of events. The intensity of these manifestations during the active phase (viz. T3-T-7) and the after-effect starting period (viz. from T7 until November, 1997) can be considered as significantly exceeding that level which could be given to the comet Hyakutake, or was a priori suggested by the author.

(B) In regions and/or focal points, where some event pertaining to factors (1)-(3) reiterates several times, each subsequent repetition may take place, as a rule, at larger time intervals (viz. to occur either earlier, or later); at this,

(C) The chain rule frequently takes place, which tells that the following emergence might be manifested as an event of other factor of group (1)-(3). For example, such "warming-up" is seen in the USA, where transfer from factor (1) at T3-T6 to factor (2) at T7 and after it took place. Such reiterations and chainings are clearly seen for other regions, as well.

(D) The HB's influence manifestations are focused not only at the forecasted time points, but within the meridian belts being specified by them. These belts had manifested themselves significantly and, practically, at all points T3-T7 (though not starting everywhere with the first one).

It might be a resonance engendered by clustering of the focal meridians that is responsible for this, because at subsequent focal time points the same region is, so to say, "warming up" as a result of the exciting of the meridians within the same meridian belt, since the comet's energy is probably insufficient for provoking each effect from the first attempt.

Like with eclipses as well, manifestations of the comet's influence within the regions located in some meridian belt may take place both in the time point specifying this belt, and in the other time points T3-T8 associated with the former one by likeness of the planetary configurations where the comet HB is actual.

(E) If a focal meridian presents an axis of symmetry for some geographic region or country (the more so, if it crosses the Capital and/or is duplicated by adjacent focal meridians), this increases the risk for this region, or inclination to heightened damage. For example, Mexico City, Prague, Rome, Tel Aviv, Delhi, Jakarta, and so on.

2/2 Dynamic Aspect of the Comet Hale-Bopp's Influence

Both kinematic parameters of the comet Hale-Bopp, and its factors of influence allow us to consider [1,2] it a follower of the comet Hyakutake, as the former continues and deepens those tendencies which were forecasted and actually took place during the transit of its predecessor the year before, and first of all - in social conflicts, fires (See Summary), etc. But it is the Solar activity (SA) which we seemingly have to consider as the most important dynamic [3] factor (viz. a factor, specifying the energetic influence in addition to the kinematic one being conventional for astrology) accompanying the comet HB influence. Thus, on January 10-11, 1997, the central part of the Sun-engendered gigantic magnetic cloud with the diameter about 26 million km had enveloped the Earth and flew away at a speed of 450 km per second. This time corresponds to focal point T2, which might so be understood as the moment of energetic "turning on" of the comet HB's influence by the Solar energetic pulse during the comet's approaching the origin of its active phase, viz. to the point T3.

On the other hand, the sharp splash of Solar activity at the beginning of September, 1997 that reached (on the background of the current minimum of the 11-year cycle of Solar activity) the Volf's numbers of about 100 units being typical to some years of Solar activity maximum, had taken place directly before the time focus T7. This might be accepted not only as a dynamic factor of energizing the comet HB's influence, but as a fragment of the "relay-race" Hyakutake-HB-Solar Activity, when after the comet's action during the Solar activity minimum period (viz. implicit Solar activity influence) the comet HB "passes on the baton" to the Solar activity itself that approaches the phase of growth of its 11-year cycle.

In some way this situation corroborates the hypothesis, put forward by the author, implying that the comet's influence in a definite sense could be likened to that of the Solar activity, though which is issued by a point-like object (in the sense the planets are considered as points in Astrology) and in a pulse mode. From this, due to incommensurability of the energetic potentials of a comet and the Sun, the former being supported by planetary influence of the respective configuration may initiate just the "ripened" situations, whereas the prolonged influence of the Solar activity provides warming up of the Earth on the whole including people at large, thus driving them to the state of instability.

For example, on March 12, 1989, during Solar activity maximum epoch a powerful Sun-flash had resulted in disconnecting some electric and computer networks in Quebec. Another sharp rise in Solar activity is closely synchronized with the historical tensions in Moscow in August 1991.

The likening of the comet's influence to that of the Solar activity is also confirmed by correspondence between the known [4] Solar activity influence factors and the above factors (1)-(3) obtained from studying those planetary configurations the comet HB passes through.

Therefore, we may expect this likening to increase the importance of Sun/HB conjunctions, and as it is seen from the Summary, these conjunctions do manifest themselves significantly. But almost directly this hypothesis is confirmed by the Earthy response to that abrupt splash of Solar activity on the eve of the time focus T7. Indeed, it was marked by powerful manifestations and prolonged after-effects (at least, until November) relevant to factors (1)-(3) and focal meridians, which continue to develop the prehistory determined by the points T3-T6 and respective meridians as if by using this resonance for infuriating the world.

Therefore, the above considerations in common with Summary suggest the following:

(F) After-effect manifestations could take place about time point T8 (viz. March 13, 1998) and be focused primarily at meridian belts WB5, EB5.

(G) Actually low level of Solar activity during the previous two years (until September, 1997) seemingly does not denote absence of "warming-up" relevant to Solar activity, since the comet's action in 1996, 1997, might be likened to it.

(H) In order to forecast properly since September, 1997, apart from the above trends (A) - (E) the splashes of Solar activity, as well as its current level, should be taken into special consideration for the point T7's powerful manifestations to be properly understood, as well as their prolonged after-effects marked by extensive propagation of cataclysms over the previously manifested regions.

For instance, these are the financial and forest conflagrations engendered in SE Asia - right up to record stock market slump that reached even other meridian belts (New York, London, Moscow). Reiteration of events and after-effects develops in other regions, as well. The Israeli/Palestinian relations, that started to worsen at point T3, was then marked by each focal time point, until November. Changes at highest ranks and other difficulties in Russia, NATO-expanding negotiations might also be associated with T3. The same synchronism is clearly seen in spacecraft failure and airplane catastrophes, fires, natural calamities, and other events the Summary describes in details.